2016 Upfronts Preview Pt 3c: If I scheduled CBS’s TV Schedule

Upfronts, the annual ritual when TV network execs trek to NYC to pitch their upcoming television schedule in the hopes that advertisers are enticed enough to buy ad time during the shows.

In my preview of the 2016 Upfronts, I’ve taken a look at the pilots (aka first episode) under contention to be picked up to series as well as the prospects for renewal/cancellation of the shows currently on air. Note: these posts could already be out of date with renewal/cancellation & pilot pickup/passed over news since they’ve been published.

In the last part of the Upfronts Preview, I’ll play backseat network executive and lay out how I would program the upcoming television schedule for each of the networks. I’ve went over ABC’s schedule, the CW’s schedule, now it’s time to take a whack at CBS’s.

Say what you will about CBS’s programming, its transitions are smooth: Letterman-to-Colbert (Late Show), Bob Schieffer-to-John Dickerson (Face the Nation), and Nina Tassler to Glen Geller (President CBS Entertainment). Contrast that with the messiness at other networks (Conan, Ann Curry, Michael Strahan). Nina Tassler stepping down is also special in that, so far as is known, she stepped down willingly (after a remarkably long time as CBS Entertainment President) instead of being pushed out as is the norm for the notoriously short career lifespan of network heads of entertainment. Maybe she saw the writing on the wall that the television trends that engulfed so many of CBS’s competitors would eventually catch up to CBS and decided to jump ship before it too caught up to CBS (purely speculation). Either way, she steps down after a strong run at one of the most consistent networks; and it now falls to new CBS Entertainment President Glenn Geller to keep the sturdy CBS ship afloat as it navigates the murky waters of cord-cutting, peak TV, VOD, and depressed 18-49 ratings.

Sunday
Current Schedule: 60 Minutes/Madam Secretary/The Good Wife/Elementary
The Good Wife is going off the air and Madam Secretary & Elementary have both been renewed. CBS seems to be resigned to the fact that Sundays will not be their best night and will be an older-skewing night with low 18-49 ratings, granted they may have a reason to not be too aggressive on this night as CBS-owned Showtime does decent/quite well on Sundays year-round with Homeland, Shameless, Penny Dreadful, Ray Donovan, The Affair, and Masters of Sex.
So it’s probably safe to assume they won’t dramatically rearrange the night and that three of the four hours will stay, with the 9/8c hour being vacated due to The Good Wife ending (R.I.P. you remarkable show). What to fill this hour with that will transition from (and keep) Madam Secretary’s considerable (if older-skewing) audience? Relocate The Amazing Race back to the hour. Honestly the best CBS can expect (and seems content with for the past few seasons) from its Sundays is mid-to-low-1 ratings, which The Amazing Race has been able to pull on the depressed-television-viewing night of Friday.

Monday
Current Schedule: Supergirl/Scorpion/NCIS: Los Angeles
The CBS rumor mill has been working hard with theories of Supergirl’s ratings being a disappointment relative to its cost-per-episode and that Supergirl will only be renewed under the condition that it’s moved to the CW (which CBS co-owns). While this sounds a bit ludicrous, I won’t discount it entirely. For now, I’ll assume it’s renewed and stays on CBS (not that the CW even has room for Supergirl on its packed schedule).
With Thursday Night Football displacing CBS Thursdays for the first 6-or-so weeks of the season, CBS will likely do its usual schedule shuffling to temporarily relocate 2 comedies to Monday. During these first six weeks, have The Big Bang Theory kick off the night and lead into the new Matt LeBlanc comedy to give it a solid launchpad. After TBBT & Matt LeBlanc’s comedy moves to Thursday, fill in with two comedies: returning series Life in Pieces and new comedy My Time/Your Time. While CBS retreated from trying to create a Monday comedy block years ago, a stable 2-hour Thursday comedy block does not give CBS enough real estate to launch all of its comedies. Launch the season with a benched Supergirl and see how the comedies perform on Monday & Thursday. Swap time slots & premiere Supergirl during mid-season as needed.

Tuesday
Current Schedule: NCIS/NCIS: New Orleans/Limitless
This night works, keep it. Although keep an eye on Limitless, and do some off-season tinkering (albeit lightly) as this show started strong but petered off as the season wore on).

Wednesday
Current Schedule: Survivor/Criminal Minds/Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders
In last week’s ratings, Survivor, in its 32nd season outrated The Voice (10th season) in both total viewers and the 18-49 demo. Very impressive. Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders has been doing admirably enough leading out from its original anchor. As tempting as it would be to keep it there, relocate it to Fridays, where it might prove to be a suitable lead-in for fellow crime-in-exotic-locales program Hawaii Five-0. End Wednesdays with Training Day. I was originally thinking MacGyver but the older-skewing audience of Criminal Minds will probably write off any young actor stepping into the shoes of a rebooted MacGyver without giving the show a chance.

Thursday
Current Schedule: The Big Bang Theory/The Odd Couple/Mom/2 Broke Girls/Rush Hour
After Thursday Night Football, TBBT leads off the night as usual. The Odd Couple has been performing admirably enough during the Spring to warrant it continuing leading out from TBBT. Follow that up with the Matt LaBlanc comedy and end the night’s comedy block with Mom. Finish the night with Drew.

Friday
Current Schedule: The Amazing Race/Hawaii Five-0/Blue Bloods
Hawaii Five-0 is getting up there in age so it will probably ride off into the sunset soon. For now, it’s been renewed so CBS will keep this relatively-stable night in tact. Move Amazing Race back to Sundays and see if Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders can hold its own on Fridays, or even improve on TAR’s ratings by a couple ratings ticks with it potentially being more compatible with the night’s crime drama programming.

2016-17 CBS television schedule
new shows in italics

Sunday: 60 Minutes/Madam Secretary/The Amazing Race/Elementary
Monday: The Big Bang Theory/Untitled Matt LeBlanc comedy/Scorpion/NCIS: Los Angeles
(After football: Life in Pieces/My Time-Your Time/Scorpion/NCIS: Los Angeles)
Tuesday: NCIS/NCIS: New Orleans/Limitless
Wednesday: Survivor/Criminal Minds/Training Day
Thursday: Thursday Night Football
(After football: The Big Bang Theory/The Odd Couple/Untitled Matt LeBlanc comedy/Mom/Drew)
Friday: Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders/Hawaii Five-0/Blue Bloods

Top 15 Shows of 2015

These are not rankings of the BEST (quality-wise) shows on TV nor strictly my favorites, but rather a mixture of the two, very unscientifically, weighing the two criteria 50/50 in my mind. Some shows I like more than they’re good, and some shows are quite good but I didn’t really like as much as the critics.

Initial List (June)
Post-Summer List (September)
Last Update List (October)

Comedy………………………………………………………………………………………….Drama
1. Parks & Recreation (NBC)…………………………….1. And Then There were None (BBC)
2. Last Week Tonight with John Oliver (HBO)…………………2. Marvel’s Jessica Jones (Netflix)
3. Silicon Valley (HBO)…………………………………………………………….2. Mr. Robot (USA)
4. Brooklyn Nine-Nine (FOX)……………………………………………..2. London Spy (BBC Two)
5. It’s Always Sunny in Philadelphia (FXX)…………………………………….2. Broadchurch (ITV)
6. Broad City (Comedy Central)………………………………………….6. Game of Thrones (HBO)
7. Ash vs Evil Dead (Starz)………………………………………………….6. The Good Wife (CBS)
8. Master of None (Netflix)……………………………………………………….8. Bates Motel (A&E)
9. Shameless (Showtime)………………………………………………9. Halt and Catch Fire (AMC)
10. BoJack Horseman (Netflix)………………………………………………9. The Affair (Showtime)
11. Moone Boy (Sky 1)……………………………………..11. Deutschland ’83 (RTL/SundanceTV)
12. Archer (FX)…………………………………………………………….11. House of Cards (Netflix)
12. Veep (HBO)………………………………………………………………………13. Hannibal (NBC)
14. Episodes (Showtime)……………………………………………………….14. Agent Carter (ABC)
15. Black-ish (ABC)……………………………………………………………………15. iZombie (CW)

Excluded Shows due to my not watching them: Mad Men, Rectify, Banshee, Narcos, Mozart in the Jungle, Les Revenants

Honorable Mention (Drama): Daredevil (Netflix), Fargo (FX)
Honorable Mention (Comedy): Man Seeking Woman (FXX), Billy & Billie (Audience Network/DirecTV), Survivor’s Remorse (Starz), Please Like Me (Pivot/Australian ABC), Catastrophe (Channel 4), The Weekly with Charlie Pickering (Australian ABC)

Comedy
1. Parks & Recreation (NBC) (—)
I can’t remember enjoying, relishing, any comedy in the past 10 years (or more) as much as I have Parks & Recreation. Simply delightful, hilarious, smart, and on occasion, touching. What a way to go out.
Favorite flash-forward joke: “Everybody in Chicago is so chill” “Yeah, everybody’s been so nice since the Cubs won the World Series”
2. Last Week Tonight with John Oliver (HBO) (↑1 position from last year)
3. Silicon Valley (HBO) (↑4)
4. Brooklyn Nine-Nine (FOX) (↑2)
5. It’s Always Sunny in Philadelphia (FXX)
Charlie Work. Dear God, what an episode.
6. Broad City (Comedy Central)
7. Ash vs Evil Dead (Starz)
Balancing horror and comedy is a tricky act that few movies/shows ever manage balance (take note, Scream Queens, though there were far more problems there than just balancing its tone). From the get-go AvED struck that tone almost perfectly, being absolutely frightening one scene then being laugh-out-loud gross-out hilarious the next, and sometimes mixing the two (Quentin Tarantino would be proud of how over-the-top the blood is). Though it loses a bit of its mojo towards the end (it was strong contender for #2 or #3 up until its last couple of episodes), it remained a show I anticipated every Saturday, and I eagerly look forward to its second season.
8. Master of None (Netflix)
9. Shameless (Showtime) (↓7)
10. BoJack Horseman (Netflix)
11. Moone Boy (Sky 1)
This show just might be the most lovable of this list.
12. Archer (FX) (↓4)
12. Veep (HBO) (↓7)
14. Episodes (Showtime) (—)
15. Black-ish (ABC)
It got off to an unsteady start, found its footing in the second half of its first season, and never looked back.

Drama
Yes. It’s a 4-way tie for #1. Bullshit, I know. I spent quite a bit of time trying to figure out a way to rectify this absurdity (perhaps breaking the drama list into an upper- middle- and lesser-tier of shows?) but ultimately I’m sticking to a 4-way tie. See, none of these shows really stands head-and-tail above the rest, they all have flaws and issues, they all feel like the #2/#3 drama of the year, but by virtue of then having no #1 it necessitates that they each be crowned #1. So sue me.
I am retroactively putting in BBC’s “And Then There were None” as the top drama of 2015. Only managed to watch it in spring 2016 but it premiered in the UK in late-2015 (Boxing Day) so it is technically eligible, even if I’m adding it in after the fact.
1. And Then There was None (BBC)
2. Mr. Robot (USA)
You can see how this show has climbed through my various best-of lists throughout 2015: from #8 to #6. I didn’t realize what I was witnessing when I first was watching it. From initial skepticism upon hearing of USA Network’s pivot to darker, more serialized dramas to intrigue upon watching its early-release pilot to a quick addiction as it continued to replicate its high level of quality episode after episode. In hindsight, I appreciate this show more and more. Was it the best of 2015? Arguable. But did it have the most gumption in what it wanted to do on the small screen? Did it do something with storytelling on episodic television that could almost certainly NOT have been done with nearly the same level of success in a movie? Yes. Did it consistently elevate the visual storytelling of television? Yes, yes, a million times yes. Did it make Christian Slater tolerable? Yes (and for that alone it should win all the awards). Finally, did it find a breakout star in Rami Malek who gave the best damn performance by an actor on television last year period full stop? Yes.
2. Marvel’s Jessica Jones (Netflix)
I recognized Jessica Jone’s leading lady Krysten Ritter from her previous work on ABC’s “Don’t Trust the B—- in Apt. 23,” an underwhelming series that didn’t deliver on the strong-ish reviews it received. So I was apathetic. After finishing JJ I couldn’t imagine anyone else playing the titular character. Ritter simply inhabits the role; she is strong with glimpses of a nuanced vulnerability, she easily pulls off the bitter apathetic sarcasm, she is a victim while simultaneously refusing to play the victim, she is superhuman at the same time she is very human. Jessica Jones is a deeply complicated character that required a high level of ability to keep all the plates spinning simultaneously, and Ritter pulls it off with aplomb. This show in particular hits a streak of maximum bingeability towards the end of its first season with cliffhangers galore. Mention must also be given to the great writing, David Tennant (perhaps his third iconic role following The Doctor and Alec Hardy), Rachael Taylor (who also manages the deft balance in playing someone who has been victimized but refuses to be a victim), and ably telling an adult love story (or lack thereof). The acrimonious break-up of the well-written and well-acted Jeri Hogarth didn’t feel like an afterthought nor was it overshadowed by the main plots, a considerable achievement given that the show is about a character that can punch through concrete fending off a mind-controlling villain. It was a fully-fleshed out adult romantic drama, the fact that it was between lesbians was completely incidental. It never plumbed the LGBT aspect because that was not the point. It was the story of breaking up with someone you’d invested decades of your life with, how one partner was ready to move on when the other still wanted to fight to make it work and the relateability of that story.
2. London Spy (BBC Two)
The only thing I knew about this show going in was that it starred Ben Whishaw (Q in Skyfall/Spectre) and the name of the show, that’s all it really took for me to give it a try.
After finishing the series I was surprised to read that the show/mini was divisive among critics in London. Although I suppose if you went into the first episode expecting a high-octane espionage drama you’d be pretty underwhelmed, but that’s among the strengths of the show: that it is a chameleon in terms of its genre. Its first episode played more like a gay romantic drama; its second a murder mystery; its third a psychological drama; its fourth an espionage drama; and finally, its finale a family drama.
While richly supported by Jim Broadbent, Charlotte Rampling, and Edward Holcroft (doing as much as he can in a stoic role) the show largely serves as a showcase for Ben Whishaw (in particular, episode 3).
Sure, there’s something to quibble about if you’re so inclined (including the WTF-ness of the big reveal), and I’m usually one to poke holes in the illogical and nonsensical, but I had already strapped myself in for the ride and was willing to suspend disbelief wherever this show took me, and that’s saying something.
2. Broadchurch (ITV)
Olivia Colman, simply sensational. Broadchurch made the tricky transition from a crime drama/murder mystery to a courtroom drama and pulled it off without being much less riveting in its second season.
6. Game of Thrones (HBO) (↓5)
It was a growing pains season, as GoT creators David Benioff and D.B. Weiss straddle the in-between area of having to adapt from George R.R. Martin’s books and being able to create their own Westeros. There was a lot of like, but it lagged in bits, especially juxtaposed with the breathlessly-paced season 4. Still, it’s fucking Game of Thrones, and they’ve more than earned their goodwill and there’s little reason to be skeptical that they’ll right the ship come season 6.
6. The Good Wife (CBS) (↓5)
There’s no consensus among TGW fans on when the dropoff in quality happened following the sensational fifth season. My two pennies is that the quality remained largely in tact throughout the sixth season. Season seven is just, different, not innately worse or inferior, but it’s taking a lot of getting used to. Also the absence of some characters are deeply felt along with some puzzling character pairings (Eli and Courtney).
Something that could improve the seventh season is something I rarely (if ever) want: make the episodes longer. There are three lines of plot competing for a hacf45-minute runtime: Peter’s presidential run, Alicia striking out on her own, and the goings on at Lockhart-Agos (in addition to other characters that don’t fall neatly into any of the plots). None of these properly have the room to breath and develop in the space of a standard broadcast drama. A premium-cable-sized 60 minutes would be more able to service the disparate storylines.
8. Bates Motel (A&E) (↓5)
Sputtered a bit at times in its third season, but Freddie Highmore’s Norman Bates and Vera Farmiga’s Norma Bates are still in peak form, especially as we get ever closer to Norman’s Psycho breaking point.
9. Halt & Catch Fire (AMC) (↑3)
Started iffily, ended strongly. Big kudos to AMC for renewing this low-rated gem for a third season.
9. The Affair (Showtime) (↑5)
Pushing the perspectives from the central two characters to four and willing to break with the show’s conventions maintained the quality of the initial season, if perhaps making it more watchable in the second season.
11. Deutschland ’83 (RTL/SundanceTV)
11. House of Cards (Netflix) (↓6)
13. Hannibal (NBC) (↓9)
14. Agent Carter (ABC)
I hadn’t watched the Captain America movies when I watched this show. And yet, by the end of its first episode I immediately understood why Agent Peggy Carter warranted her own spin-off. Between this and Jessica Jones, female superheroes are holding their own in the male-dominated comic book shows (despite Supergirl…see below).
15. iZombie (CW)
Witty, sprightly writing combined with a wonderfully-game cast make for a winning combination. The spiritual heir to Veronica Mars. While there’s been a lot of buzz on Tatiana Maslany for playing multiple clones on Orphan Black, Rose McIver pulls off a similar challenge on a week-to-week basis playing a zombie coroner who inhabits the personality of the brains she eats, playing a cranky old man one week to an ultra-competitive day trader with a gambling problem the next.

Worst Shows of 2015
1. Supergirl (CBS)
2. Scream Queens (FOX)
3. Sense8 (Netflix)
4. CNBC GOP Debate
5. American Horror Story: Hotel (FX)

Dishonorable Mentions: Powers (Playstation Network), Between (Netflix/City), Scream (MTV)

Top Shows of 2015 (So Far) Last Update

Finished BoJack Horseman & Masters of Sex, updating the below from the last ranking to include them.

Comedy
1. Parks & Recreation (NBC)
2. Last Week Tonight (HBO)
3. Silicon Valley (HBO)
4. Brooklyn Nine-Nine (FOX)
5. It’s Always Sunny in Philadelphia (FXX)
6. Broad City (Comedy Central)
7. Shameless (Showtime)
8. Veep (HBO)
8. Bojack Horseman (Netflix)
8. Archer (FX)
11. Community (Yahoo!)
12. Moone Boy (Sky 1)
13. Black-ish (ABC)
13. Episodes (Showtime)
15. The Soup (E!)

Drama
1. Game of Thrones (HBO)
1. The Good Wife (CBS)
3. Broadchurch (ITV)
4. Bates Motel (A&E)
5. House of Cards (Netflix)
6. Halt & Catch Fire (AMC)
6. Hannibal (NBC)
6. Mr. Robot (USA)
9. Deutstchland ’83 (SundanceTV)
10. Agent Carter (ABC)
11. Masters of Sex (Showtime)

Honorable Mention (Drama): Daredevil (Netflix)
Honorable Mention (Comedy): Man Seeking Woman (FXX), Billy & Billie (DirecTV), Survivor’s Remorse (Starz)

Top TV Shows of 2015 Post-Summer Update

I’d previously laid out my top TV shows of 2015 following the end of the 2014-15 television season, with the comedy side fully stocked but the drama side looking a little bare. Well summer came and (mostly) went and here are my updates to the ranking. Summer brought in a surprising number of solid TV shows (Masters of Sex & BoJack Horseman will be added once their seasons end/I catch up).

(No changes to the comedy side)
Comedy
1. Parks & Recreation (NBC)
2. Last Week Tonight (HBO)
3. Silicon Valley (HBO)
4. Brooklyn Nine-Nine (FOX)
5. It’s Always Sunny in Philadelphia (FXX)
6. Broad City (Comedy Central)
7. Shameless (Showtime)
8. Veep (HBO)
8. Archer (FX)
10. Community (Yahoo!)
11. Moone Boy (Sky 1)
12. The Soup (E!)
13. Modern Family (ABC)
13. Black-ish (ABC)
13. Episodes (Showtime)

Drama
1. Game of Thrones (HBO)
2. The Good Wife (CBS)
3. Broadchurch (ITV)
4. Bates Motel (A&E)
5. House of Cards (Netflix)
6. Halt & Catch Fire (AMC)
6. Hannibal (NBC)
8. Mr. Robot (USA)
9. Deutstchland ’83 (SundanceTV)
10. Agent Carter (ABC)

Honorable Mention (Drama): Daredevil (Netflix)
Honorable Mention (Comedy): Man Seeking Woman (FXX), Billy & Billie (DirecTV)

Top Shows of 2015 (So Far)

These are not rankings of the BEST (quality-wise) shows on TV nor my favorite, but rather some unquantified mixture of the two, mentally weighing the two criteria equally. Some shows I like more than they are good, and some shows are quite good but I don’t really like as much as the critics. The drama side is pretty light and only the top 5 is nailed down, but there’s a plethora of shows to fill it out in the latter half of the year (Les Revenants, The Knick, Kingdom, Masters of Sex, The Affair, etc etc). Also, these rankings are tentative: it is highly likely the rankings will move around a bit as I reassess them through the rest of the year, grow more/lessfond of them and take into consideration new episodes for those shows returning in the fall. Only series that have completed their seasons are considered, none of those currently in the middle of their seasons.

Comedy
1. Parks & Recreation (NBC)
2. Last Week Tonight (HBO)
2. Silicon Valley (HBO)
4. Brooklyn Nine-Nine (FOX)
5. It’s Always Sunny in Philadelphia (FXX)
Charlie Work. holy shit. How many shows have one of their very best episodes in its TENTH season??
6. Broad City (Comedy Central)
Season 1 was pretty hit and miss for me. Season 2’s jokes landed far more often than not in a show tailor-made for Millennials, simultaneously mocking and unabashedly celebrating every new meme, trend, or other social practice of our age cohort
7. Shameless (Showtime)
8. Veep (HBO)
If Anna Chlumsky doesn’t receive the Emmy for Best Supporting Actress then everybody responsible for that atrocity is a blah blah bitch jolly green jizzface

8. Archer (FX)
10. Community (Yahoo!)
11. Moone Boy (Sky 1)
12. The Soup (E!)
13. Modern Family (ABC)
13. Black-ish (ABC)
13. Episodes (Showtime)

Drama
1. Game of Thrones (HBO)
1. The Good Wife (CBS)
Were GoT or TGW as good as their sensational 4th and 5th seasons (respectively)? No. And yet, nothing on television can quite reach the heights of these two shows when they’re firing on all cylinders. Sure, compared to the rapidfire big-event-every-3-episodes pace of season 4, season 5 of Thrones was a bit of a letdown. I was willing to give them leeway however as creators David Beniof and D. B. Weiss take on the unenviable task of segueing from adapting from George R.R. Martin’s hefty tomes, to needing to branch out their own stories since Martin has two books left to complete in the ASOIAF series. Consider season 5 growing pains as they more severely veered into their own stories. And for any quibbles of its pacing (which are legitimate), can you honestly say there weren’t so many fine GoT moments in the tail end of the season, from [SPOILER ALERT] the spectacular battle with the white walkers, Khaleesi riding her dragon, and Cercei’s walk through the city.
Likewise, TGW couldn’t quite measure who the amazing 5th season due to its sheer brilliance, bookended by two game-changing episodes. Still, when it was on point (which was very often), it was on point, only veering off a bit for my taste towards the end of the season. Still, TGW ranks as one of the more underrated gems on TV presently, with far less chatter about it than buzzier shows involving dragons, zombies, or manipulative politicians.

3. Broadchurch (ITV)
Successfully shifting from murder mystery to courtroom drama (but still having a case from DI Hardy’s past resurface), the most powerful moments from Broadchurch’s second season haven’t been grisly revelations or whodunit reveals like season 1, but rather come almost entirely from a never-better Olivia Colman. Trying to form some semblance of a normal life after last season, she is the emotional heart of this show and I’d be lying if Colman’s great, great, great acting didn’t make me misty-eyed once or twice in the course of Broadchurch’s second season. Broadchurch did what I thought was impossible and almost entirely wiped away the bad taste of Gracepoint.
4. Bates Motels (A&E)
Freddie Highmore and Vera Farmiga are sensational as Norman and Norma Bates. The psychological unwinding of the two characters in season three has been as delightful and gripping as it has been disturbing to delve further into Norman Bates unraveling, increasingly-dangerous mentally disturbed mind as Norma Bates loses her grasp on keeping her son safe, and others safe from him.
5. House of Cards (Netflix)
Look, almost everybody felt season 3 of HoC was a step down from its past seasons. I don’t disagree, but this is one of those shows that falls into my ‘like more than it’s good’ category of shows. It still has intrigue and political machinations, it still has a dark atmosphere, fuck it I’m all about the Underwood train, critics and audience opinion be damned.
But, I WAS pretty annoyed by what was done with Claire Underwood’s character. The show had established, especially in season two, that the Underwoods are equally powerful and cunning, even if she was “just” the wife. Her standing by his side and pulling strings behind the scenes could be just as powerful as Frank’s moves in the Capitol Building. So when she finally has an official title to go along with her power in season 3, the writing just had her fucking up over and over and over again and damn that annoyed me.
Doesn’t mean I won’t be staring at my laptop for 13 straight hours come season 4 though.

6. Agent Carter (ABC)
I’ve watched the pilot for CBS’s upcoming Supergirl. It is no Agent Carter. Despite being only a casual Marvel movie watcher, after watching the back-to-back first episodes, I understood why the powers that be felt Carter to be worthy of her own spin-off and the season only grew stronger and stronger as it wore on. Thank goodness Carter was renewed for a 2nd season.
-iZombie (CW)
-Justified (FX)
-The Americans (FX)

Honorable Mention (Drama): Daredevil (Netflix)
Honorable Mention (Comedy): Man Seeking Woman (FXX)

2015 Upfronts Pt. 3e: If I Scheduled the CW for 2015-16

Whew, the last part of my preview of Upfronts 2015, that daily ritual where the networks trot out to NYC to present next season’s television schedule to advertisers in an effort to entice them to buy commercial time upfront. I’ve taken a look at what shows look likely to be cancelled or renewed (the fates of which have pretty much all been revealed by now), the pilots under contention to be picked up to series, and how I would schedule the upcoming seasons of ABC, CBS, NBC and FOX. Time for the last network to schedule!

CW is a bit easy to schedule, and not only because it only has 10 hours of programming as opposed to 19 hours on the Big 3 and 14 on Fox. It renewed pretty much every scripted program not named ‘Hart of Dixie’ or ‘The Messengers’ from this past television season. While it launched one of, if not the most successful shows in CW history with The Flash, the ratings trends in Spring bring some cause of concern: The Vampire Diaries are hovering around series lows, Reign somehow is still alive, and Monday’s are modestly rated. Still, CW is in a stronger position than last year (evidenced by early renewals for the bulk of its shows), has opportunity, and more importantly, momentum to grow.

Monday
Current Schedule: The Originals/Jane the Virgin
Jane the Virgin has been a modest performer for the CW. But, it is easily, hands down the most critically acclaimed show broadcast on the CW…ever (granted the CW’s only been around for 9 years, but still). While that’s a low bar to clear, it’s also been one of the best-reviewed network shows this season and won a Golden Globe for star Gina Rodriguez. That’s all to say, the CW will keep with a modest performer if it can shine a light and garner awards/nominations. A minor uptick in the ratings following Rodriguez’s Golden Globe win didn’t really sustain through the rest of the season but its 18-49 ratings are on par with lead-in The Originals. At some point the CW may want to reconsider the time-slot, going up against femme-skewing shows like The Voice/Dancing with the Stars/The Bachelor(ette), but for now, let JtV stay put and let the audience find it (especially after potential Emmys). The lead in is the one that might need to adjust as the Vampire drama is an odd bedfellow for the dramedy. Let’s get comedy in front of comedy and use Whose Line is it Anyway to kick off the night. Tonally it’s more similar, and WLIIA has showed itself to be a reliable ratings draw no matter what day or season it airs. WLIIA has been wont to use CW castmembers as guests so kick off premiere week with 2 episodes of Whose Line featuring Jane the Virgin actors leading into the season premiere of Jane the Virgin.
(I see a strong possibility that the CW will slot very compatible musical-comedy Crazy Ex-Girlfriend (originally developed for Showtime(!)) with Virgin)

Tuesday
Current Schedule: The Flash/iZombie
The Flash stays put…but what follows it? Will iZombie get a 22-episode order? Does the CW want to use Flash to launch a new show or prop up ratings for a current show? Where will The Originals go? Let’s use Flash to help launch Cordon. There’s only 2 new shows on the fall schedule and some short-order shows. iZombie, The Originals, Legends of Tomorrow (Flash-Arrow spinoff) are waiting in the wings and the CW can move around the schedule a bit in Winter/Spring to keep things interesting.

Wednesday
Current Schedule: Arrow/Supernatural
This combination works well, it’s been faltering a bit in recent weeks but still a potent combo. Leave it be.

Thursday
Current Schedule: The Vampire Diaries/Reign
Reign’s gotta go. Keep Vampire Diaries here and slot Cordon (which shares executive producer Julie Plec with Vampire Diaries) after it. Stick in Super Ex-Girlfriend. If iZombie gets another short 13-episode order, use The Flash to launch a show and the buzzier more compatible show would be Cordon.

Friday
Current Schedule: Whose Line is it Anyway?/The Messengers
Banish Reign here, but give it America’s Next Top Model has some sort of lead-in. ANTM starts early in summer, wraps up in mid-to-late fall then The 100 takes over.

2015-16 CW television schedule
new shows in italics

Monday: Whose Line is it Anyways?/Jane the Virgin
Tuesday: The Flash/Cordon
Wednesday: Arrow/Supernatural
Thursday: The Vampire Diaries/Super Ex-Girlfriend
Friday: America’s Next Top Model/Reign

Last Year’s Upfront Preview:
Part 3: CW
Part 3: FOX
Part 3: NBC
Part 3: CBS
Part 3: ABC
Part 2: Pilot Preview
Part 1: Cancel/Renew

2015 Upfronts Pt. 3d: If I Scheduled FOX for 2015-16

Other posts in the 2015 Upfronts Series: Cancel/Renewal Predictions. Pilot Preview. ABC Schedule. CBS Schedule. NBC Schedule.

FOX is gonna be a fun one to schedule. Fox had one of the biggest TV launches in quite some time, with unprecedented consistent growth. I’m talking of course about Empire. And if hadn’t been for Empire, the headlines in Spring would’ve read something along the lines of ‘American Idol hits ANOTHER low.’ Indeed, outside of Empire, FOX had few other successes. Glee and The Following went out with a whimper. Multiple shows didn’t just fail, but failed spectacularly. Almost every night is a fixer upper. Much of the past season’s shows were greenlit by Entertainment chief Kevin Reilly who left (ahem, pushed out) before the start of the season. This upcoming season will feature shows greenlit and promoted/executed by the pair of Dana Walden and Gary Newman, who long jointly headed 20th Century Fox Television, known for its great successes with shows such as Glee, Sons of Anarchy, Modern Family, etc.

Sunday
Current Schedule: Repeat/Bob’s Burgers/The Simpsons/Brooklyn Nine-Nine/Family Guy/Last Man on Earth
Not much to mess around with here. Simpsons, Brooklyn Nine-Nine, Family Guy all staying put. Originally I wanted to push New Girl here and burn off what will probably be its last season in the 7/6 o’clock hour, which may very well still be an option, but hold it back for later in the season. Star Zooey Deschanel is pregnant anyways which will delay production on the show a bit. Also NFL football usually bleeds into Fox’s Sundays and New Girl is a hard transition from football. The live-action/animation mix has proven itself to be a good mix (proving my skepticism wrong) so keep it up. Save Last Man on Earth for spring and put John Stamos-starring ‘Grandfathered’ in the last half-hour.

Monday
Current Schedule: Gotham/The Following
Gotham stays, it can anchor the night. I still like Sleepy Hollow, though the last couple episodes of season 2 felt obviously tacked on. Its ratings suffered a bit in the second season so move it to another night where the worst it can do is hold at current ratings. Lucifer is another DC comics shows so double up and call it DC Night.

Tuesday
Current Schedule: Hell’s Kitchen/New Girl/Weird Loners
Tuesday needs a dramatic overhaul. No more Hell’s Kitchen on any of the other nights. It can’t sustain a 2-season/year cycle. It burns itself out too much. Dancing with the Stars & The Voice can do it because they replenish their cast and coaches, Hell’s Kitchen retreads itself way too much to have 2 16-or-so episode seasons months apart. Also New Girl is barely sustainable at its current ratings and there is no 9:30/8:30 comedy to follow it. Scrap this night and start from scratch.
Glee made Tuesdays its home for much of its run, so slot another Ryan Murphy show to see if the night can return to those ratings heights. Horror-comedy Scream Queens is probably the buzziest of Fox’s new shows (as close to a slam-dunk hit as Fox could get) so use that to launch the night. Follow it with another buzzy and not entirely-incompatible show: Minority Report.

Wednesday
Current Schedule: American Idol
Fox faltered here last fall with Red Band Society. Fox has also been slightly mistreating its veteran show Bones, attempting to ship it off to Friday 2 seasons ago before bringing it back to Mondays and have a big hiatus in the middle of its current season. As a result its ratings have suffered. Plunk it down in on Wednesdays and let it be to lead off the night. The investigative genre and male-female leads of Rosewood sound very compatible: “…series centers around the brilliant Dr. Beaumont Rosewood Jr., the top private pathologist in all of Miami. As owner of one of the most sophisticated, state-of-the-art independent labs in the country, he finds the secrets in bodies that others usually miss. Despite being constantly surrounded by death Rosewood is obsessed with life and savors every moment. His eternal optimism will frustrate the cynical female detective he often works with, but she can’t argue with the results that his unique perspective provides.”
There will inevitably be a failure on the schedule, particularly on the revamped days. Fox should just show repeats of Empire after a show fails. I’d be curious to see what kind of ratings it gets. Don’t waste the repeats on Friday, it’ll probably do well enough to be competitive.

Thursday
Current Schedule: Bones/Backstrom
Sleepy Hollow & Frankenstein. I can’t say I’m entirely optimistic about Thursday’s chances. Masterchef Junior could go here followed by Frankenstein but it seems too cruel to just cast Sleepy Hollow off to die on Friday.

Friday
Current Schedule: Movie
Masterchef Junior pulls in perfectly respectable ratings and it may be a bit of a waste it here but if worse comes to worse, if something fails on a different night MJ can be moved to that night with repeats continuing on Friday.

2015-16 FOX television schedule
new shows in italics

Sunday: Repeat/Bob’s Burgers/The Simpsons/Brooklyn Nine-Nine/Family Guy/Grandfathered
Monday: Gotham/Lucifer
Tuesday: Scream Queens/Minority Report
Wednesday: Bones/Rosewood
Thursday: Sleepy Hollow/Frankenstein
Friday: Masterchef Junior/Encore

Last Year’s Upfront Preview:
Part 3: FOX
Part 3: NBC
Part 3: CBS
Part 3: ABC
Part 2: Pilot Preview
Part 1: Cancel/Renew

2015 Upfronts Pt. 3c: If I Scheduled NBC for 2015-16

Cancel/Renewal Predictions. Pilot Preview. ABC. CBS.

Let’s talk about the last of the Big 3: NBC. It’s most likely to be the #1 network of the season, boosted by airing the Super Bowl, The Voice, Chicago P.D./Fire & The Blacklist. But it had one helluva rough season, its crop of new shows were a wash, Mysteries of Laura was (somehow) renewed while pretty much the rest of its freshmen shows came and went without so much as peep. As an example of how bad it is at NBC right now, this past week 5 of its hours were filled with Dateline. It could be looking at a steep drop in the ratings if it doesn’t shore up its schedule (particularly days when it’s not airing The Voice) quick.

Sunday
Current Schedule: Dateline/A.D.: The Bible Continues/American Odyssey
After football season was over, NBC aired A LOT of repeats and Dateline on Sundays. It’s like they just gave up on the day.
Originally I was gonna slot 3 female-led shows that NBC could promote as some sort of ‘Women Who Kick Ass’ night but then realized Shades of Blue would be better suited/more likely to get a post-Voice slot and Telenova was only half an hour.
Dateline will kick off the night because there’s only so many hours of the show that can be replaced, follow it with the slightly intriguing-sounding Blindspot (it may be NBC’s best bet of the night quality-wise and may be better to start it an hour earlier than when most cable dramas start). Chicago Medical may be a spin-off too many but at least it (probably) won’t out-and-out bomb, though I don’t foresee it becoming a runaway hit. That’d still be an improvement on all the dramas NBC have tried—and failed—to launch lately. Medical show Heartbreaker may be suitable follow-up, though I’m bearish on its prospects. Is it too early to start making predictions on which show will be the first to be axed in the fall season?

Monday
Current Schedule:The Voice/The Night Shift
NBC likes to gives its biggest, buzziest shows the post-Monday Night Voice slow, first was Revolution, then Smash, Blacklist, and State of Affairs. Whichever show gets the slow in the fall may not feel great to be on that list since 3 of those shows are cancelled and The Blacklist is hitting series lows after being moved. But, following the logic of it all, NBC will likely slot its big Jennifer Lopez-starring cop drama (I know, who the fuck, aside from the blind (and even then) will buy Lopez as a dirty cop) after The Voice. Hell they’ll probably get her to perform on the episode of The Voice preceding Shades of Blue’s premiere.

Tuesday
>Current Schedule:The Voice/Undateable/One Big Happy/Chicago Fire
The Voice starts off the night, Chicago Fire ends it. NBC has ordered a number of pilots, which means it could try launching comedies on another night, but Tuesdays comedy block will probably stay intact. Eva Longoria-starring Telenovela sounds extremely compatible to the post-Voice slot given their respective and likely audience. Out of the other comedies NBC has ordered, People are Talking or Superstore sound like a fit. People are Talking sounds like a good candidate…..to get its series order cut and not premiere until the summer of 2017 so Superstore it is.

Wednesday
Current Schedule:The Mysteries of Laura/Law & Order: Special Victims Unit/Chicago P.D.
The ratings on this night seems to swing wildly depending on whether or not there’s a crossover event on all of Dick Wolf’s shows. While it might seem like a good idea to keep Wednesday’s in tact, and it is, it’s a better idea to prop up NBC’s Thursday, which is on life support, to put it generously. Move Chicago P.D. over to kick off that night, keeping Mysteries of Laura and Law & Order in place. Crazy idea, slot comedies Coach and Crowded after Law & Order. I doubt it will happen, if anything Coach will get a Friday or earlier Wednesday slot, maybe even Thursday if NBC gives up on all drama Thursdays (or Tuesday if NBC wants to be crazy, the demographic of Coach does not match that of The Voice). The demographics of Mysteries of Laura fits well with Coach, but it would probably get stampeded by Modern Family.

Thursday
Current Schedule:Repeats/The Blacklist/Dateline
In theory, moving NBC’s smash hit The Blacklist to Thursdays to remake it as a drama night wasn’t bad on paper.
Except a) the audiences of Scandal and The Blacklist seemed to cannibalize each other a bit and
b) season 2 of Blacklist had been trending downward and was seemingly exacerbated by its move
While The Blacklist remains an extremely strong DVR player, NBC needs to build up the night quickly as the 2 dramas they surrounded it with (The Slap, Allegiance) quickly sunk like a stone.
With that in mind, move over Chicago P.D. from Wednesday so serve as a suitable lead-in, and close out the night with another seemingly testosterone-fueled show Game of Silence. It may be tempting to slot a different new show in the 1st hour and Chicago Medical in the last hour (y’know, to harken back to the days of ER) but 3 days in a row of Chicago [whatever] might be a bit much. I can’t wait ’till NBC greenlights Chicago Waste Disposal.

Friday
Current Schedule:Grimm/Dateline
Without some of sort of genre show to pair with Grimm this year as in years past (Constantine, Hannibal, Dracula), Friday is a bit tough to schedule. NBC could very well throw up their/its hands and say ‘fuck it’ and continue on with Grimm and 2 hours of Dateline, but The Player sounds like a show that will be schedule for the fall.

2015-16 NBC television schedule
new shows in italics

Sunday: Dateline/Blindspot/Chicago Medical/Heartbreaker
Monday: The Voice/Shades of Blue
Tuesday: The Voice/Telenovela/Superstore/Chicago Fire
Wednesday: Mysteries of Laura/Law & Order: SVU/Coach/Crowded
Thursday: Chicago P.D./The Blacklist/Game of Silence
Friday: The Player/Grimm/Dateline

Last Year’s Upfront Preview:
Part 3: NBC
Part 3: CBS
Part 3: ABC
Part 2: Pilot Preview
Part 1: Cancel/Renew

2015 Upfronts Pt. 3b: If I Scheduled CBS for 2015-16

I’ve looked at the chances of this season’s shows being cancelled/renewed. I’ve looked at some of the pilots. I’ve discussed at length what I might do if I were in charge of scheduling ABC. Now it’s time to take a look at CBS.

I touched a bit on CBS’s shaky future when looking at the pilots. They’ve had a lot of shows this season that are hits. All of them, pretty much are hits. CBS regularly dominates in total viewers, pulling in more viewers than the other networks combined. Thing is, the audience skews old. For better or worse, for whatever reason, the key demographic advertisers care about when it comes to broadcast television is the 18-49 demographic. The higher the 18-49 rating, the more they’re willing to shell out for a commercial slot. CBS may dominate in total viewers regularly (they’ve won something like 12 of the last 13 TV seasons in total viewers), but their shows skew old, and that old skew is not ‘youthening’ up (down?) anytime soon.

There’s the stereotype about CBS programming, its dramas are all spin-offs of some other crime/murderporn show, and its comedies are laugh-track, stale-joke shows. No matter the perception, for a long time, that worked. By simple virtue of having the most viewers, they naturally also had the most 18-49 viewers. That is becoming less and less the case every season. This season has seen many CBS stalwarts come down to Earth. The latest Big Bang Theory season finale finished down 20% from last year. The latest episode of NCIS pulled in 14M viewers compared to The Voice’s 9M. Totally got it beat, right? Not in the all-important 18-49 demo, they tied at 2.0. This is the demo that determines how financially-valuable a show is. And right now its right in line with a show pulling in 60% less total viewers. This is a show that pulled in 3’s and 4’s, that started out the season with a 2.9. Here’s the thing, for a show in its 12th season, that is really quite good, especially in today’s TV landscape. But NCIS is indicative of many of CBS’s shows, they’re in their umpteenth season, on a slow descent in the ratings, still pulling in respectable numbers, but CBS hasn’t really hit it big with any of its new shows in recent years. While ABC has a good mix of old, middle-aged, and young shows, CBS’s best-performing shows are shows it launched 5+ years ago and its newer shows have been middling at best.

These shows have life in them yet, but CBS is a 2nd place network. ABC (3rd) is nipping at its heels. CBS may remain in 2nd for seasons to come due to FOX & NBC’s struggles, but really, they want to be 1st and to do that they need to launch 18-49 hits, without immediately alienating their current audience or they’ll end up the network version of JC Penny.

Sunday
Current Schedule:60 Minutes/Madam Secretary/The Good Wife/Battle Creek
Sunday is a fixer-upper. Madam Secretary is another prime example of the double-edge sword of CBS programming, it pulls in perfectly fine ratings in total viewership, but man oh man does this show skew old. It started off decently with a 2.0 rating (far from spectacular given how hard CBS was pushing this show) ended with a 1.0 for its last two episodes of the season. That. is. miserable. Multiple comedies have been cancelled recently pulling in ratings a little higher than a 1.0 and a) they’re on networks worse off than CBS & b) comedies are less expensive to produce than hour-long dramas. CBS inexplicably renewed it in a wave of freshmen renewals earlier in the season, and boy they must be kicking themselves for it.
All this is to say, they probably can’t stop the bleeding, but they need stave it off. When Fox renewed Glee for 2 seasons and then saw its ratings plummet, they cut the episode order for its last season and shipped it off to Fridays.
Do that. Order 13 episodes and push it elsewhere. Sundays & Thursdays are the most valuable nights and CBS’s Sunday shows have been 3rd/4th-place finishers in the Spring.
60 Minutes usually drops off in Spring, but when it has football in front it can pull in ratings. There’s bigger problems then messing with a show that’s been in its time slot since dinosaurs roamed the Earth. CBS moved The Amazing Race to Fridays and, of course, its ratings dropped, and not to an acceptable depressed-Friday-ratings standard either. TAR was doing perfectly fine on Sundays before getting shipped off. Bring it back and see how it does. It couldn’t do worse than Madam Secretary. It serves as a segue from a news show to scripted shows, appealing to both CBS’s broad/older audience while not putting off the 18-49 demo.
Sundays is admittedly a difficult place to launch a drama, especially if you’re on network television. Cablers from AMC, HBO, Showtime, and even FX this past summer have staked their claim on Sunday nights as the place for prestige & boundary-pushing television. CBS should take its biggest, buzziest show and stick it in the 3rd hour: Supergirl. Sundays in fall particularly skew more male between Football, Walking Dead, and other testosterone-infused shows. While Supergirl will pull in comic book fans (a decidedly male-skewing demographic), it could very well intrigue and get sampling from females watching the first female superhero-starring network show in…forever?
Plant a flag on Sunday nights and follow up Supergirl with another buzzy show: Limitless.

Monday
Current Schedule: 2 Broke Girls/Mike & Molly/Scorpion/NCIS: Los Angeles
CBS’s Thursday Night Football gives it a chance to temporarily relocate its biggest comedy to help bolster its Mondays. Other than that, I wouldn’t tinker with Mondays too much; while it hovers around 2nd-3rd place for the night, Scorpion is probably the most stable of CBS’s new shows this past season. Additionally, moving NCIS: Los Angeles in its 10/9 o’clock hour, while leading to a bit of a steeper-than-predicted ratings depreciation, has managed to shore up an hour CBS has had trouble with. Its ratings have mostly stabilized. The question becomes which new comedy to have follow TBBT on Mondays? CBS hasn’t ordered too many comedies thusfar (that might change when they officially announce their schedule at their upfronts presentation), but out of the two ordered so far, Jane Lynch-starring Angel from Hell sounds better. After TBBT moves back to Thursdays, Angel from Hell will probably mesh at least decently with its presumed lead-in 2 Broke Girls.

Tuesday
Current Schedule: NCIS/NCIS: New Orleans/Person of Interest
Tuesdays is mostly firm night for CBS, but its ratings slide from the beginning to end of the 2014-15 season are worrying. The back-to-back NCIS programming might be burning out audiences who may getting their fill of NCIS after 1 hour of the show. Move NCIS: New Orleans to another night. After spending its entire 12 seasons anchoring Tuesdays, it may be time to shift NCIS (this was also right around the same time in CSI’s life that CBS moved it from its Thursday night perch). Move NCIS an hour later and help it launch a new show (sorry Person of Interest, in my scenario it gets cancelled). Put another buzzy movie-to-TV show adaptation into the 8/7c slot,, Rush Hour will probably get some sampling for its initial episode, and will counterprogram NBC’s The Voice in the same hour. That it’s a cop show will fit in with NCIS. Place Code Black, CBS’s medical drama in the 10/9 o’clock hour

Wednesday
Current Schedule: Survivor/Criminal Minds/CSI: Cyber
The first 2 hours are good enough for now, though CBS has been having some struggles in the last hour on Wednesdays. Reports are that CSI: Cyber has been renewed. Whether or not it has, let’s not place it back in its old time slot where it premiered modestly and by the end of its run was routinely beaten by competition on NBC (Chicago P.D.) and ABC (Nashville). NCIS: New Orleans goes into the 10/9 hour to stem the bleeding and hopefully stabilize the hour.

Thursday
Current Schedule: The Big Bang Theory/The Odd Couple/Mom/TBBT repeat/Elementary
With the relative dearth of comedy orders from CBS coupled with its struggles maintaining 2 hours of comedies on Thursday (it currently has a TBBT repeat regularly scheduled for the night) AND its many drama renewals, it’s conceivable that it will cut back an hour of comedies on Thursday.
But, I’m more bearish than bullish on the likelihood of that possibility so sticking with the 2 hours of comedy that CBS currently has, and assuming The Odd Couple gets renewed (it had a pretty good hold of TBBT’s audience until it tapered off a bit towards the tail end of its run), have TBBT & Mom continue leading off the 7(/8) and 8(/9) hours, with The Odd Couple sandwiched between them and and Mom leading out to new family comedy Life in Pieces. Initially I was adamant that Elementary would move to Friday (and still think that very well could be the case), but given how I’ve scheduled the preceding days and not seeing any chance of Madam Secretary moving to Thursday, I reluctantly keep Elementary in its place. It’s definitely a prime candidate for a move to Friday given its trending downward ratings.

Friday
Current Schedule: The Amazing Race/Hawaii Five-0/Blue Bloods
Hawaii Five-0 could very well get cancelled, but I’m a bit more optimistic about its survival chances. I don’t see Madam Secretary getting a chance to lead in to any programs so stick it into the last hour and shift the current scripted shows on Friday back an hour.

2015-16 CBS television schedule
new shows in italics

Sunday: 60 Minutes/The Amazing Race/Supergirl/Limitless
Monday: The Big Bang Theory/Angel from Hell/Scorpion/NCIS: Los Angeles
(After football: 2 Broke Girls replaces TBBT)
Tuesday: Rush Hour/NCIS/Code Black
Wednesday: Survivor/Criminal Minds/NCIS: New Orleans
Thursday: Thursday Night Football
(After football: The Big Bang Theory/The Odd Couple/Mom/Life in Pieces/Elementary)
Friday: Hawaii Five-0/Blue Bloods/Madam Secretary

Last Year’s Upfront Preview:
Part 3: CBS
Part 3: ABC
Part 2: Pilot Preview
Part 1: Cancel/Renew

2015 Upfronts Pt. 3a: If I Scheduled ABC for 2015-16

I’ve looked at the prospects of renewal/cancellation for current shows (and since then a whole lot of shows have been renewed (iZombie & Agent Carter, woo!!) or cancelled) and gone over the pilots for the potential new shows next season, now it’s time to move on to the main event: playing backseat executive and scheduling the networks’ TV shows for the upcoming TV season.

As I’d mentioned in my look at the pilots, despite most likely winding up as a 3rd place network for the 2014-15 Television season in the 18-49 demo (NBC will likely be 1st, CBS 2nd, ABC, and FOX dead last), ABC is actually in a strong position right now. It’s laid a solid foundation for it to build on next season with a healthy mix of shows of various ages. It has its veteran players still pulling in the ratings (Modern Family, Grey’s Anatomy), medium-aged shows approaching/just past syndication numbers (Scandal, Once Upon a Time, The Goldbergs) and it probably launched the most hits this season that remained consistent throughout its run (Black-ish, Fresh off the Boat, How to Get Away with Murder). ABC needs to capitalize on this and 2nd place doesn’t seem unimaginable next season, after all, 2nd-place CBS is at a crossroads with many old and old-skewing shows in addition to having difficulty launching anything more than a modest hit (as I will discuss in my upcoming CBS ‘fantasy schedule’ post).

Sunday
Current Schedule: America’s Funniest Home Videos/Once Upon a Time/Secrets & Lies/Revenge
Believe it or not, America’s Funniest Home Videos still pulls in perfectly decent ratings, and OUaT was rejuvenated in the fall from its Frozen storyline. Though AFHV host Tom Bergeron will be stepping down after this season, that doesn’t seem like it’ll be a catalyst for a precipitous ratings drop.
So what to do with the last 2 hours of Sunday? The cancellation of Revenge opens up an hour to premiere a new show. It may be tempting to keep Secrets & Lies in place, as opposed to last year’s Spring newbie Resurrection, S&L grew throughout its run, hitting series highs in its season finale. Not officially renewed, but a definite shoo-in,Now officially renewed, but where to schedule it? Fall or Spring? Sunday or a different day? Will the fans come back to see most of the cast replaced as Juliette Lewis comes back to investigate a new case? There’s no obvious good choice here, while
There are 3 ABC dramas that have been ordered to series that are a little more male-skewing, two having a historical bent: Kings and Prophets, Wicked Crime, and the show formerly known as Boom. TSFKA Boom is the most intriguing of ABC’s pilots, focusing on the oil boom in North Dakota and a couple who moves there for the economic opportunities. Save this for mid-season and, if it’s any good, give it a big marketing push (well, relatively big for a mid-season show) so it doesn’t get lost in the morass of all the new fall shows. Slot anthology show Wicked Crime (its previous name L.A. Crime was better, they definitely need to retool the name so it sounds less telenovela) and end the night with Kings and Prophets.

Monday
Current Schedule: Dancing with the Stars/Castle
Castle is getting old aka pricier and while Nathan Fillion has signed on for another season, Stana Katic is still in the midst of contract negotiations. With decent ratings (if older-skewing), Castle seems like a safe bet to come back for another season.Castle has been officially renewed (ABC is renewing/cancelling a raft of shows since I started this post yesterday). Dancing with the Stars still pulls in ratings and has been in the Monday night time slot since 2007. Monday’s is solid enough to let it be.

Tuesday
Current Schedule:Dancing with the Stars/Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D./Forever
Tuesday has been a bit of a sore spot for ABC, with the last hour in particular being a graveyard of cancelled shows. The opening hour also barely got to know Selfie/Manhattan Love Story before both got yanked off the schedule. However Spring saw the arrival of Fresh off the Boat which got heavy sampling from premiering two episodes in Wednesday’s comedy block (one after Modern Family). After moving to its regular Tuesday time slot it dropped off as expected but didn’t slide too far, managing to stabilize at perfectly decent levels. To no surprise it’s been renewed. The question is for how many episodes and if not a full season, fall or spring? This doesn’t particularly seem like a show to benefit greatly plot-wise from shorter orders so go ahead and give it a full 22-episode order and have it continue launching the night. Have Dr. Ken follow it up.
Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. has been performing ably enough, a time slot move may be warranted later, but to start off the season keep it at Tuesday 9/8c. Reports are that the AoS spin-off (the not John Ridley-written one) is on hold/dead in the water, otherwise I would’ve slotted it after AoS as CBS does with its NCIS spinoffs. With that spin-off out of the picture, out of the dramas ABC has ordered to series (so far), there are 3 similarly-themed shows that could mix and match well on Sunday leaving the Joan Allen-starring The Family for Tuesday. It could be Quantico but I’m more intrigued in The Family, leave Quantico for mid-season.

Wednesday
Current Schedule: The Middle/The Goldbergs/Modern Family/Black-ish/Nashville
There are talks of ABC switching up its Wednesday night comedy line-up. FFS ABC, you FINALLY have a lineup that works and you want to muck with it? What utter sheer stupidity. You’ve found a show that builds on The Middle, you found a show that doesn’t drop 75% of its Modern Family lead-in, you have other holes to plug. Sure The Middle is an older show that never really broke out in the way Modern Family did. It still is a very potent self-starter with no lead-in of its own. Sure Modern Family has come down from its ratings heyday. It’s still the highest rated show on Wednesday (when Empire isn’t airing). Don’t. be. stupid.
On the other hand, Nashville. It has been chugging along at barely-above-cancellation numbers for much of its life, granted it’s been pretty darn consistent in its ratings, the widest gulf between its highest and lowest-rated episodes is a 0.5 and that was only on one occasion. Outside of 3 episodes, the ratings for Nashville have maintained in the 1.3-1.5 range for 17 of its season 3 episodes, that’s impressive. What’s more, it consistently brings in around another ratings point in DVR ratings. There’s a reliable audience here.
But. A 1.3 rating is not spectacular. The power of syndication compels another season of Nashville (4 full seasons is the basic minimum for a show to enter the syndication market, if a show has 3 full seasons (≈66 episodes) under its belt, its a shoo-in for a 4th season), especially since ABC is also the studio behind Nashville and it has musical merchandise as another revenue stream. However, as I said before, ABC needs to build and capitalize on its momentum, the Wednesday 10/9 o’clock spot needs a show that stands a better chance at pulling in ratings above a 1.3, especially in light of ABC’s stronger preceding hours. Put a new show in the last hour and move Nashville to Fridays, however give Nashville a late fall start, if the new Wednesday show bombs, boom, move Nashville back.
Crazy idea, Wednesday is a solid comedy night for ABC, there’s really no laggards in the bunch. Why not go full comedy, 6 comedies on Wednesday. Sure, the last time a network did that (NBC Thursdays in the 2010-2011 season) it didn’t work out. While there was a lot of quality comedies then (Community, 30 Rock, Parks & Rec), none of them were ratings dynamos in the way ABC Wednesdays are. ABC has a strong line-up of family comedies that flows nicely into each other, not even CBS has been able to sustain 2 hours of consistently-rated comedies: it scrapped its Monday attempt at 2 hours of comedy last year and right now its Thursdays include a Big Bang Theory repeat. This is asking for an extension into the 9(/10) o’clock hour. You could slot Fresh off the Boat & Dr. Ken here, but you really need a solid show to anchor the 9(10) o’clock hour if you’re gonna pull that off.
The Muppets. There will be large sampling for at least the first couple episodes. ABC renewed medieval musical comedy Galavant which would pair nicely with the occasionally musical Muppets.
Hell, launch this out of the craziness of the rush of fall premieres and save it for November sweeps. Kick off Nashville as usual to end the night then move it to Fridays and launch The Muppets/Galavant.

Thursday
Current Schedule: Grey’s Anatomy/Scandal/American Crime (Spring)
ABC finally found a way to solve its Thursday first-hour problem, after years of failing to launch a show in the 8/7c hour that stuck around longer than a season (if even), simply shifting the schedule back plugged the hole along with presenting a marketing opportunity under the TGIT banner.
There are potential headwinds however. A twist in Grey’s Anatomy has many fans upset, swearing off the show. While too much stock shouldn’t be put in people complaining online, the original cast of GA is dwindling and there really hasn’t been any breakout new cast members since then (so far as I can tell). I don’t anticipate an immediate, steep drop for the season 12 premiere, but Grey’s may fall to the curse of the Thursday 8/7c timeslot yet.
Scandal has been solid as rock for ABC. After a decent 1st season, it’s become a runaway hit, strong enough to be the lead-in program to help launch other shows. After season 4 premiered to a fantastic 3.8, it’s maintained a rating right around 3.0 (read: very good).
Take a look at the ratings for Scandal’s past 10 episodes since coming back in Winter: 3.6, 3.2, 3.1, 3.3, 3.0, 2.7, 2.4, 2.3, 2.1, 2.4, 2.3. It hasn’t hit a rating that low since the beginning of its 2nd season. And those dips aren’t accompanied by a corresponding increase in DVR viewing either. Springtime usually brings a dip in viewership as viewers enjoy the warmer weather and more daytime hours, but such a downward trajectory is worrying, coupled with dumb plot lines and the feeling that the spark of the show is near-extinguished (based on what I gleaned from online rumblings) is worrying. Can Scandal still anchor the 8 o’clock (/9 o’clock) hour? Intriguing things to look forward to in the upcoming season.
Despite all of what I just wrote, Thursday is still (thusfar) a solid-enough night, it might crash and burn next season, but that will be next season’s problem. Keep up TGIT. Grey’s. Scandal. HTGAWM in the fall. Order another Shonda Rhimes show (The Catch) and put that in Spring after HTGAWM wraps up. This may be much ado about nothing, maybe.

Friday
Current Schedule: Shark Tank/Beyond the Tank/20/20
Start the season off with the exact same combination as above, Shark Tank, BtT, 20/20, then sometime mid-October-to-early-November move Nashville to start off the night and move Shark Tank back an hour.

2015-16 ABC television schedule
new shows in italics

Sunday: America’s Funniest Home Videos/Once Upon a Time/Wicked Crime/Kings and Prophets
Monday: Dancing with the Stars/Castle
Tuesday: Fresh off the Boat/Dr. Ken/Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D./The Family
Wednesday: The Middle/The Goldbergs/Modern Family/Black-ish/The Muppets/Galavant
Thursday: Grey’s Anatomy/Scandal/How to Get Away with Murder (Fall), The Catch (Spring)
Friday: Nashville/Shark Tank/20/20

Last Year’s Upfront Preview:
Part 3: ABC
Part 2: Pilot Preview
Part 1: Cancel/Renew